Spread board
Our projected spread on every game, and the score it comes from.
Early season Our spread runs wide until the window fills. Across the last three seasons' first 300 games, a 10-point projection was really a 7-point game — after that it lands within half a point. The side holds up; it's the margin that's soft.
MatchupWizLineMarketWizEdge
Final117.3 – 115.2proj
Cavaliers106−2.1WizLine+2.5market+12.4%
76ers114+2.1WizLine−2.5market−12.4%● Q2 · 2:26111.6 – 119.0proj
Nuggets44+7.3WizLine+8.5market+1.9%
Thunder40−7.3WizLine−8.5market−1.9%2 of 2 games priced, 2 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability at the book's own number minus theirs, both with the vig divided out, in percentage points. Gold is the side we're on — a disagreement, not a price you can bet. Projections, not picks.