Spread board
Our projected spread on every game, as we published it for this night.
Early season Our spread runs wide until the window fills. Across the last three seasons' first 300 games, a 10-point projection was really a 7-point game — after that it lands within half a point. The side holds up; it's the margin that's soft.
MatchupWizLineMarketWizEdge
4:00 PM ET117.1 – 117.0proj
Bulls−0.1WizLine+1.5market+3.3%
Bucks+0.1WizLine−1.5market−3.3%7:00 PM ET106.7 – 109.8proj
Knicks+3.1WizLine+2.5market−1.6%
Celtics−3.1WizLine−2.5market+1.6%7:00 PM ET113.4 – 117.1proj
Hawks+3.8WizLine−2.5market−17.6%
Hornets−3.8WizLine+2.5market+17.6%7:00 PM ET120.3 – 120.1proj
Mavericks−0.2WizLine+6.5market+16.3%
Pacers+0.2WizLine−6.5market−16.3%7:00 PM ET117.0 – 117.4proj
Timberwolves+0.3WizLine−1.5market−5.2%
Magic−0.3WizLine+1.5market+5.2%7:00 PM ET123.3 – 111.1proj
Raptors−12.2WizLine−5.5market+17.7%
Wizards+12.2WizLine+5.5market−17.7%8:00 PM ET121.2 – 117.8proj
Pistons−3.4WizLine−1.5market+6.9%
Heat+3.4WizLine+1.5market−6.9%9:30 PM ET110.5 – 114.6proj
Rockets+4.1WizLine+5.5market+3.8%
Spurs−4.1WizLine−5.5market−3.8%9:30 PM ET122.6 – 120.4proj
Pelicans−2.2WizLine+2.5market+12.7%
Jazz+2.2WizLine−2.5market−12.7%10:00 PM ET114.2 – 120.9proj
Grizzlies+6.7WizLine+3.5market−8.7%
Warriors−6.7WizLine−3.5market+8.7%10:00 PM ET110.1 – 111.4proj
Clippers+1.3WizLine+9.5market+21.3%
Lakers−1.3WizLine−9.5market−21.3%10:00 PM ET121.1 – 112.1proj
Trail Blazers−9.0WizLine−7.5market+4.1%
Kings+9.0WizLine+7.5market−4.1%12 of 12 games priced, 12 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability at the book's own number minus theirs, both with the vig divided out, in percentage points. Gold is the side we're on — a disagreement, not a price you can bet. Projections, not picks.