Spread board
Our projected spread on every game, as we published it for this night.
Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The book's line beside each one is where that market closed.
Preseason All 12 games on this slate are exhibitions. The ratings behind these numbers are last season's, and starters play short minutes — so the board runs wider than the market here. Where we disagree, that's the model catching up, not an edge.
Heat115−0.1WizLine+7.5market+19.9%
Magic136+0.1WizLine−7.5market−19.9%
Celtics125−7.2WizLine+6.5market+32.5%
76ers120+7.2WizLine−6.5market−32.5%
Raptors125+6.5WizLine+10.5market+11.1%
Pistons129−6.5WizLine−10.5market−11.1%
Bucks128+0.8WizLine+7.5market+17.9%
Pacers127−0.8WizLine−7.5market−17.9%
Hawks135−4.5WizLine+1.5market+15.0%
Mavericks111+4.5WizLine−1.5market−15.0%
Kings97+19.8WizLine+14.0market−15.5%
Spurs126−19.8WizLine−14.0market+15.5%
Hornets98−7.2WizLine+2.0market+22.5%
Grizzlies116+7.2WizLine−2.0market−22.5%
Wizards106+9.3WizLine−1.5market−27.1%
Pelicans107−9.3WizLine+1.5market+27.1%
Timberwolves116−4.7WizLine+4.5market+23.8%
Bulls133+4.7WizLine−4.5market−23.8%
Trail Blazers118+1.8WizLine−2.5market−11.8%
Warriors128−1.8WizLine+2.5market+11.8%
Jazz119+10.1WizLine+5.0market−13.7%
Suns116−10.1WizLine−5.0market+13.7%
Nuggets121−1.3WizLine+3.5market+20.5%at +6.0
Lakers106+1.3WizLine−3.5market−20.5%at −6.012 of 12 games priced, 12 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability at the book's own number minus theirs, both with the vig divided out, in percentage points. Gold is the side we're on — a disagreement, not a price you can bet. Projections, not picks.