Total board
Projected game total, as we published it for this night.
Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The model has changed since, so the WizEdge is withheld rather than restated at today's engine.
Preseason All 5 games on this slate are exhibitions. The ratings behind these numbers are last season's, and starters play short minutes — so the board runs wider than the market here. Where we disagree, that's the model catching up, not an edge.
Timberwolves112at
Pacers123231.9WizLine236.5market—116.8Timberwolves115.1Pacers
Magic122at
Grizzlies118232.2WizLine234.5market—114.6Magic117.6Grizzlies
Bucks128at
Thunder126231.3WizLine218.5market—110.8Bucks120.5Thunder
Suns117at
Bulls124231.4WizLine228.0market—112.3Suns119.0Bulls
Warriors118at
Trail Blazers123232.0WizLine216.5market—114.6Warriors117.4Trail Blazers5 of 5 games priced, 5 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability that the game goes over the book's own total, minus theirs, both with the vig divided out. Positive is the over. Read the COLUMN before any one row: across 103 book totals it ran one way inside each slate — 4.1 points over the book all preseason, then 3.1 under on opening week — so a card where we agree with the market is the signal here, not a card where we don't. No gold on this tab for the same reason. Projections, not picks.