Total board
Projected game total, as we published it for this night.
Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The model has changed since, so the WizEdge is withheld rather than restated at today's engine.
Preseason All 7 games on this slate are exhibitions. The ratings behind these numbers are last season's, and starters play short minutes — so the board runs wider than the market here. Where we disagree, that's the model catching up, not an edge.
Clippers106at
Raptors114229.9WizLine218.5market—113.4Clippers116.6Raptors
Hawks119at
Pacers117232.3WizLine234.5market—117.4Hawks114.9Pacers
Pistons108at
Wizards114231.0WizLine224.5market—115.7Pistons115.3Wizards
Timberwolves125at
Heat124240.3WizLine234.5market—116.8Timberwolves123.4Heat
76ers106at
Celtics144231.2WizLine225.5market—114.376ers116.9Celtics
Kings106at
Warriors111227.8WizLine229.5market—110.9Kings116.9Warriors
Spurs98at
Suns102233.4WizLine222.5market—118.5Spurs114.9Suns7 of 7 games priced, 7 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability that the game goes over the book's own total, minus theirs, both with the vig divided out. Positive is the over. Read the COLUMN before any one row: across 103 book totals it ran one way inside each slate — 4.1 points over the book all preseason, then 3.1 under on opening week — so a card where we agree with the market is the signal here, not a card where we don't. No gold on this tab for the same reason. Projections, not picks.