Total board
Projected game total, as we published it for this night.
Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The model has changed since, so the WizEdge is withheld rather than restated at today's engine.
Preseason All 7 games on this slate are exhibitions. The ratings behind these numbers are last season's, and starters play short minutes — so the board runs wider than the market here. Where we disagree, that's the model catching up, not an edge.
Nets128at
Heat144230.3WizLine234.5market—106.6Nets123.7Heat
Hornets93at
Celtics114232.7WizLine223.5market—115.7Hornets117.1Celtics
Suns103at
Spurs123232.6WizLine222.5market—112.1Suns120.5Spurs
Pelicans101at
Mavericks97232.8WizLine232.5market—115.8Pelicans116.9Mavericks
Bulls125at
Bucks104229.4WizLine233.5market—116.5Bulls113.0Bucks
Pistons128at
Timberwolves106234.9WizLine227.5market—115.6Pistons119.3Timberwolves
Nuggets110at
Clippers122236.6WizLine226.5market—120.6Nuggets116.0Clippers7 of 7 games priced, 7 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability that the game goes over the book's own total, minus theirs, both with the vig divided out. Positive is the over. Read the COLUMN before any one row: across 103 book totals it ran one way inside each slate — 4.1 points over the book all preseason, then 3.1 under on opening week — so a card where we agree with the market is the signal here, not a card where we don't. No gold on this tab for the same reason. Projections, not picks.