MatchWiz

Dyami Brown

WRWSHWashington Commanders

This week — vs LAR · Sun, Nov 8, 1 PM

Receiving

Targets
2.2
Receptions
1.3
Yards
15
TD
0.10

Touchdown

Anytime TD
10%

Projected from a drive-level simulation of this game, run thousands of times. A projection, not a play — the market is sharper than we are on NFL props, and we say so.

This week

Dyami is hosting LAR. We project 15.4 receiving yards on 2.2 targets. The number comes out of a drive-level simulation of the game rather than a season average — it asks how many possessions his side is likely to get, what they do with them, and how much of that flows through him.

How much he's on the field

Dyami has averaged 48% of his team's snaps across 20 games. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. Opportunity is the first thing the model reads and the last thing it gives up on — production without snaps is noise, and snaps without production usually corrects.

What kind of receiver he is

Dyami has caught 38 of 66 targets (58%) for 461 yards and 1 touchdown — 7 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Dyami has 73 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 39% lately against 48% overall. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.

How the model reads him

The number on Dyami is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half.

Dyami Brown — FAQ

What is Dyami Brown projected for this week?

Dyami Brown faces LAR at home. The projection on this page comes from a drive-level simulation of that game — possessions, how far each side moves, and what share flows through him — rather than from a season average.

How much does Dyami Brown play?

He's averaged 48% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Dyami Brown's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2026 · 8PHI25%000000
2026 · 6SF49%116000
2026 · 5NYG37%212000
2026 · 4IND56%4365000
2026 · 3SEA30%100000
2026 · 2DAL55%6421000
2026 · 1PHI53%200000
2025 · 18TEN13%118000
2025 · 15NYJ8%000140
2025 · 11LAC27%100000
2025 · 10HOU37%100000
2025 · 9LV60%7325140
2025 · 7LAR30%4250000
2025 · 6SEA64%5213170
2025 · 5KC66%4215000
2025 · 3HOU33%327000
2025 · 2CIN80%7557191
2025 · 1CAR71%4352260
2024 · 21PHI77%5342000
2024 · 20DET83%8698000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).