MatchWiz

Aidan O'Connell

QBLVLas Vegas Raiders

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Aidan doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

82% — that's Aidan's average snap share over 20 games. That's a full-time role. Snap share at this level is the most stable input we have — it changes slowly, and it survives a bad game in a way that yardage never does. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of quarterback he is

Aidan has completed 353 of 569 (62%) for 3694 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions — 6.5 yards an attempt. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Aidan has 956 total yards. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Aidan's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Aidan O'Connell — FAQ

How much does Aidan O'Connell play?

He's averaged 82% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Aidan O'Connell's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2025 · 18KC82%1022102007
2024 · 18LAC94%24342142113
2024 · 17NO100%203524220-1
2024 · 16JAX100%24382570012
2024 · 14TB66%1119104016
2024 · 13KC100%2335340200
2024 · 7LAR18%61052000
2024 · 6PIT100%2740227110
2024 · 5DEN37%102094010
2024 · 3CAR20%91282100
2023 · 18DEN95%2031244201
2023 · 17IND100%3047299203
2023 · 16KC100%9216200-4
2023 · 15LAC100%2034248400
2023 · 14MIN100%2132171012
2023 · 12KC100%2333248100
2023 · 11MIA100%2441271133
2023 · 10NYJ100%1627153113
2023 · 9NYG100%1625209000
2023 · 7CHI22%101375110

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).