MatchWiz

Anthony Richardson

QBINDIndianapolis Colts

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Anthony doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

77% — that's Anthony's average snap share over 17 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of quarterback he is

Anthony has completed 177 of 350 (51%) for 2400 yards, 11 touchdowns and 13 interceptions — 6.9 yards an attempt. He's also run for 634 yards, which matters more than it looks: rushing production is the most reliable floor a quarterback has, because it doesn't depend on anyone catching anything. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Anthony has 592 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 65% lately against 77% overall. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Anthony's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Anthony Richardson — FAQ

How much does Anthony Richardson play?

He's averaged 77% of his team's snaps across 17 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Anthony Richardson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2025 · 5LV11%129000
2025 · 3TEN12%00000-1
2024 · 16TEN100%7111311170
2024 · 15DEN100%17381720246
2024 · 13NE100%12241092248
2024 · 12DET100%11281720061
2024 · 11NYJ100%20302721032
2024 · 8HOU98%10321751145
2024 · 7MIA100%10241290056
2024 · 4PIT20%34710024
2024 · 3CHI100%10201670224
2024 · 2GB100%17342041337
2024 · 1HOU100%9192122156
2023 · 5TEN33%91298005
2023 · 4LAR100%11252002056
2023 · 2HOU32%610560035
2023 · 1JAX96%24372231140

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).