MatchWiz

Brandon Johnson

WRLVLas Vegas Raiders

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Brandon doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

46% — that's Brandon's average snap share over 16 games. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of receiver he is

Brandon has caught 26 of 45 targets (58%) for 335 yards and 5 touchdowns — 7.4 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Brandon has 171 total yards. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Brandon's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Brandon Johnson — FAQ

How much does Brandon Johnson play?

He's averaged 46% of his team's snaps across 16 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Brandon Johnson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2024 · 5DAL9%119000
2023 · 18LV46%5488000
2023 · 17LAC84%6427000
2023 · 16NE68%5347001
2023 · 15DET6%100000
2023 · 6KC31%200000
2023 · 5NYJ51%119000
2023 · 4CHI35%114001
2023 · 3MIA60%3212000
2023 · 2WSH45%3266002
2023 · 1LV50%3231000
2022 · 18LAC11%000000
2022 · 15ARI59%4330000
2022 · 14KC74%400000
2022 · 12CAR70%4210001
2022 · 11LV34%212000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).