MatchWiz

Damar Hamlin

SAFBUFBuffalo Bills

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Damar doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Damar has been on the field for 95% of his team's snaps. That's a full-time role. Snap share at this level is the most stable input we have — it changes slowly, and it survives a bad game in a way that yardage never does. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of linebacker he is

Damar has 105 tackles across 20 games — 5.3 a game. Add 1 sack. Linebacker tackle counts track team context as much as ability — a defense that's on the field a lot, or one whose line occupies blockers, inflates them. The model reads volume against how many plays his defense actually faces rather than treating tackles as a raw total.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Damar has 22 tackles and 1 sacks. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 85% lately against 95% overall. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Damar as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.

Damar Hamlin — FAQ

How much does Damar Hamlin play?

He's averaged 95% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Damar Hamlin's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTklSoloAstSacks
2025 · 2NYJ26%1100.0
2024 · 21KC100%3120.0
2024 · 20BAL100%8531.0
2024 · 19DEN100%4130.0
2024 · 18NE100%6420.0
2024 · 14LAR100%13760.0
2024 · 13SF100%5400.0
2024 · 11KC100%4220.0
2024 · 10IND92%4220.0
2024 · 9MIA100%10620.0
2024 · 8SEA100%4310.0
2024 · 7TEN95%5220.0
2024 · 6NYJ100%7510.0
2024 · 5HOU100%9520.0
2024 · 4BAL100%3210.0
2024 · 3JAX100%5220.0
2024 · 2MIA92%10720.0
2024 · 1ARI100%4120.0
2023 · 20KC200.0
2023 · 12PHI100.0

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).