MatchWiz

Dante Pettis

WRBUFBuffalo Bills

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

Season Projection

· 1 pts · WR204 · 7.5 games
0@HOU10DET20LAC30NE40@LAR50@LV6BYE70BAL80@MIN90@NYJ100MIA110KC120@NE130@GB140CHI150@DEN160@MIA170NYJ18

Projected points per week, from the same simulation as the season total. Bars are scaled to this player's own best week, so the shape shows which weeks carry him. The season number already accounts for the games we expect him to miss; these weekly bars do not — each is what he does in a week he plays.

No projection this week

Dante doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 20 games, Dante has been on the field for 35% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of receiver he is

Dante has caught 26 of 55 targets (47%) for 290 yards and 2 touchdowns — 5.3 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Dante has 113 total yards. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Dante as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish. For Dante specifically, he's on the field for a minority of snaps, which caps the projection regardless of how he's playing.

Dante Pettis — FAQ

How much does Dante Pettis play?

He's averaged 35% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Dante Pettis's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 18ATL76%5560000
2025 · 17TEN69%4353000
2025 · 16NYJ15%100000
2025 · 15CAR3%000000
2025 · 14TB3%000000
2025 · 13MIA4%000000
2025 · 12ATL8%1114000
2025 · 10CAR000000
2024 · 18TB30%6216001
2024 · 17LV27%4327000
2024 · 16GB66%7231000
2024 · 15WSH47%5224000
2024 · 14NYG31%200000
2024 · 13LAR20%215000
2024 · 11CLE12%119000
2024 · 10ATL13%118000
2022 · 18MIN63%6219000
2022 · 17DET27%100000
2022 · 16BUF73%5211001
2022 · 15PHI80%4113000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).