No projection this week
Hogan doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.
A specialist's page is a short one
Hogan is a specialist, and this page reflects that honestly. Kicking and punting production depends almost entirely on how often his offense stalls in range — situations he doesn't control and a drive simulation prices better than any per-game average. What's below is the real record: the games he appeared in and what he did in them.
His last 5 games
Over that stretch Hogan has 0 total yards. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.
How the model reads him
Every projection here is built the same way for Hogan as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.
What we'd flag
Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.