MatchWiz

Ihmir Smith-Marsette

WRARIArizona Cardinals

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Ihmir doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Ihmir has averaged 14% of his team's snaps across 20 games. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. Opportunity is the first thing the model reads and the last thing it gives up on — production without snaps is noise, and snaps without production usually corrects.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Ihmir has 0 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 3% lately against 14% overall. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.

How the model reads him

The number on Ihmir is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half. For Ihmir specifically, he's on the field for a minority of snaps, which caps the projection regardless of how he's playing.

Ihmir Smith-Marsette — FAQ

How much does Ihmir Smith-Marsette play?

He's averaged 14% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Ihmir Smith-Marsette's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2024 · 18PHI000000
2024 · 17IND000000
2024 · 16ATL2%000000
2024 · 15BAL4%000000
2024 · 14NO000000
2024 · 13DAL2%000000
2024 · 12TB000000
2024 · 10CAR000000
2024 · 9WSH2%000000
2024 · 8PIT000000
2024 · 7PHI2%000000
2024 · 6CIN000000
2024 · 5SEA000000
2024 · 4DAL000000
2024 · 3CLE000000
2023 · 18TB17%216000
2023 · 17JAX22%3312100
2023 · 16GB32%11182330
2023 · 15ATL27%2214310
2023 · 14NO33%1001100

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).