MatchWiz

Jake Moody

KWSHWashington Commanders

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

Season Projection

· 150 pts · K2 · 14.9 games
10@PHI110@DAL210SEA310IND410NYG510@SF6BYE710PHI810LAR910@NYG1010CIN1110@ARI1210@TEN1310HOU1410ATL1510@MIN1610@JAX1710DAL18

Projected points per week, from the same simulation as the season total. Bars are scaled to this player's own best week, so the shape shows which weeks carry him. The season number already accounts for the games we expect him to miss; these weekly bars do not — each is what he does in a week he plays.

No projection this week

Jake doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

A specialist's page is a short one

Jake is a specialist, and this page reflects that honestly. Kicking and punting production depends almost entirely on how often his offense stalls in range — situations he doesn't control and a drive simulation prices better than any per-game average. What's below is the real record: the games he appeared in and what he did in them.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Jake has 0 total yards. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.

How the model reads him

The number on Jake is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half.

Jake Moody — FAQ

Are Jake Moody's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 18PHI000000
2025 · 17DAL000000
2025 · 16PHI000000
2025 · 15NYG000000
2025 · 14MIN000000
2025 · 13DEN000000
2025 · 7NO000000
2025 · 6WSH000000
2025 · 1SEA000000
2024 · 18ARI000000
2024 · 17DET000000
2024 · 16MIA000000
2024 · 15LAR000000
2024 · 14CHI000000
2024 · 13BUF000000
2024 · 12GB000000
2024 · 11SEA000000
2024 · 10TB000000
2024 · 5ARI000000
2024 · 4NE000000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).