MatchWiz

Jonah Coleman

RBDENDenver Broncos

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

Season Projection

· 6 pts · RB107 · 6.5 games
1@KC11JAX21LAR31@SF41@LAC51SEA61@ARI71KC81@CAR9BYE101LV111@PIT121MIA131@NYJ141@LV151BUF161@NE171LAC18

Projected points per week, from the same simulation as the season total. Bars are scaled to this player's own best week, so the shape shows which weeks carry him. The season number already accounts for the games we expect him to miss; these weekly bars do not — each is what he does in a week he plays.

No projection this week

Jonah doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How the model reads him

Jonah's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Jonah Coleman — FAQ

Are Jonah Coleman's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

No NFL game log yet. Rookies project off their depth-chart rank until they play.

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).