MatchWiz

Jonnu Smith

TEPITPittsburgh Steelers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Jonnu doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

53% — that's Jonnu's average snap share over 20 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of tight end he is

Tight end is the position where usage varies most: two players with the same label can be a primary receiving option and a sixth offensive lineman. Jonnu has caught 52 of 73 targets (71%) for 303 yards and 4 touchdowns — 4.2 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Jonnu has 84 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 41% lately against 53% overall. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Jonnu's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Jonnu Smith — FAQ

How much does Jonnu Smith play?

He's averaged 53% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Jonnu Smith's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 19HOU53%32-1000
2025 · 18BAL44%212120
2025 · 17CLE41%5518290
2025 · 16DET38%1002280
2025 · 15MIA29%22121140
2025 · 14BAL52%100000
2025 · 13BUF53%216000
2025 · 12CHI49%3321270
2025 · 11CIN54%200000
2025 · 10LAC67%214000
2025 · 9IND40%5325000
2025 · 8GB60%3217000
2025 · 7CIN70%6328001
2025 · 6CLE69%43181100
2025 · 4MIN25%326000
2025 · 3NE83%3323000
2025 · 2SEA56%4427000
2025 · 1NYJ66%6515001
2024 · 18NYJ60%12956001
2024 · 17CLE48%4326001

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).