MatchWiz

Mason Rudolph

QBPITPittsburgh Steelers

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Mason doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

64% — that's Mason's average snap share over 20 games. That's a rotational-to-starter share. It's the number most likely to move his projection week to week, because a swing of ten points of snap share moves everything downstream with it. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of quarterback he is

Mason has completed 267 of 402 (66%) for 2825 yards, 16 touchdowns and 12 interceptions — 7 yards an attempt. He's also run for 153 yards, which matters more than it looks: rushing production is the most reliable floor a quarterback has, because it doesn't depend on anyone catching anything. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Mason has 306 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 35% lately against 64% overall. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Mason's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Mason Rudolph — FAQ

How much does Mason Rudolph play?

He's averaged 64% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Mason Rudolph's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2025 · 19HOU11%112000
2025 · 13BUF16%030010
2025 · 12CHI100%2431171117
2025 · 11CIN43%121612710-1
2025 · 6CLE5%000000
2025 · 2SEA5%2212000
2024 · 18HOU42%7970005
2024 · 17JAX100%19311931123
2024 · 16IND100%2334252233
2024 · 15CIN53%21262092114
2024 · 9NE100%20332402119
2024 · 8DET100%22382661229
2024 · 7BUF100%25402151113
2024 · 4MIA83%91785000
2023 · 19BUF100%22392292116
2023 · 18BAL100%182015210-1
2023 · 17SEA100%1824274005
2023 · 16CIN100%1727290204
2023 · 15IND10%233000
2021 · 16KC14%58350017

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).