MatchWiz

Phillip Dorsett

WRLVLas Vegas Raiders

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Phillip doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

45% — that's Phillip's average snap share over 20 games. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of receiver he is

Phillip has caught 26 of 55 targets (47%) for 364 yards and 1 touchdown — 6.6 yards per target. Yards per target is the honest efficiency number here, because catch rate mostly measures how far downfield he's used: a slot receiver on screens will always catch more of them than a deep threat, without being better.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Phillip has 59 total yards. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Phillip's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Phillip Dorsett — FAQ

How much does Phillip Dorsett play?

He's averaged 45% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Phillip Dorsett's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2023 · 17LAC41%200000
2023 · 1LV9%100000
2022 · 17JAX56%6314000
2022 · 16TEN58%3345000
2022 · 15KC86%100000
2022 · 14DAL82%3218000
2022 · 13CLE71%3218000
2022 · 12MIA43%215000
2022 · 11WSH25%100000
2022 · 10NYG44%4222000
2022 · 9PHI77%5369000
2022 · 8TEN83%516000
2022 · 7LV54%3245001
2022 · 5JAX19%000000
2022 · 4LAC19%200000
2022 · 3CHI22%1115000
2022 · 1IND6%100000
2021 · 16LAC34%6355000
2021 · 15JAX25%3243000
2021 · 14SEA48%319100

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).