MatchWiz

Tyson Bagent

QBCHIChicago Bears

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Tyson doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

Across 11 games, Tyson has been on the field for 44% of his team's snaps. That's a limited role, and it caps everything else on this page. A player on a third of the snaps can't produce like a starter no matter how efficient he is, and the projection reflects the opportunity rather than the talent. The model weighs this above efficiency for a simple reason: snap share predicts next week better than last week's yardage does.

What kind of quarterback he is

Tyson has completed 99 of 149 (66%) for 917 yards, 3 touchdowns and 6 interceptions — 6.2 yards an attempt. He's also run for 109 yards, which matters more than it looks: rushing production is the most reliable floor a quarterback has, because it doesn't depend on anyone catching anything. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Tyson has 62 total yards. Worth noting: his snap share is trending down — 7% lately against 44% overall. Five games is a small sample in any sport and a tiny one in football, where a team plays seventeen times a year — so recent form informs the projection without overriding the usage underneath it.

How the model reads him

Every projection here is built the same way for Tyson as for a starter on a contender — simulate the game, then apportion it by role. No manual adjustments, no gut calls on who's due. The weighting behind it is proprietary and re-tuned on real outcomes; everything it produces is public and graded against the box score.

What we'd flag

Three things to carry. The season is seventeen games, so most trends here are small samples wearing a confident number. Game script rewrites usage — a team trailing throws, a team ahead runs. And injury news lands after we publish.

Tyson Bagent — FAQ

How much does Tyson Bagent play?

He's averaged 44% of his team's snaps across 11 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Tyson Bagent's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2025 · 9CIN1%1120000
2025 · 2DET16%2327007
2024 · 15MIN4%115000
2024 · 14SF8%116000
2024 · 6JAX5%00000-3
2024 · 5CAR4%00000-4
2023 · 10CAR100%20331620012
2023 · 9NO100%18302202370
2023 · 8LAC100%253723202-1
2023 · 7LV96%21291621024
2023 · 6MIN47%101483014

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).