MatchWiz

Wil Lutz

KDENDenver Broncos

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

Season Projection

· 116 pts · K26 · 15.0 games
7@KC18JAX28LAR37@SF47@LAC58SEA68@ARI78KC87@CAR9BYE108LV118@PIT128MIA137@NYJ147@LV158BUF168@NE178LAC18

Projected points per week, from the same simulation as the season total. Bars are scaled to this player's own best week, so the shape shows which weeks carry him. The season number already accounts for the games we expect him to miss; these weekly bars do not — each is what he does in a week he plays.

No projection this week

Wil doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

A specialist's page is a short one

Wil is a specialist, and this page reflects that honestly. Kicking and punting production depends almost entirely on how often his offense stalls in range — situations he doesn't control and a drive simulation prices better than any per-game average. What's below is the real record: the games he appeared in and what he did in them.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Wil has 0 total yards. In a sport with seventeen games, a five-game window is closer to an anecdote than a trend — which is why usage, not this, anchors the number.

How the model reads him

The number on Wil is a share of a simulated game. First the matchup: possessions, field position, how each offense is likely to move. Then his slice of it, set by usage rather than by reputation. How those pieces are weighted is ours and gets re-tuned against results; the output is published and graded, which is the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Football's sample sizes are brutal — seventeen games a season means a "trend" is often four data points. Injuries and game script move usage more than talent does week to week, and a blowout can erase a starter's second half.

Wil Lutz — FAQ

Are Wil Lutz's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsTgtRecRecYdCarRushYdTD
2025 · 21NE000000
2025 · 20BUF000000
2025 · 18LAC000000
2025 · 17KC000000
2025 · 16JAX000000
2025 · 15GB000000
2025 · 14LV000000
2025 · 13WSH000000
2025 · 11KC000000
2025 · 10LV000000
2025 · 9HOU000000
2025 · 8DAL000000
2025 · 7NYG000000
2025 · 6NYJ000000
2025 · 5PHI000000
2025 · 4CIN000000
2025 · 3LAC000000
2025 · 2IND000000
2025 · 1TEN000000
2024 · 19BUF000000

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).