MatchWiz

Will Levis

QBNYJNew York Jets

No projection this week — he isn't on the current slate.

No projection this week

Will doesn't have a projection right now — either his team is on a bye, the week's slate hasn't been simulated yet, or he isn't in a position to draw usage. His game log and the usage read below are the real record either way, and this page picks him back up as soon as there's a game to simulate.

How much he's on the field

87% — that's Will's average snap share over 20 games. That's a full-time role. Snap share at this level is the most stable input we have — it changes slowly, and it survives a bad game in a way that yardage never does. This is the number to check first on any football page. Everything else here is downstream of it.

What kind of quarterback he is

Will has completed 320 of 527 (61%) for 3661 yards, 17 touchdowns and 16 interceptions — 6.9 yards an attempt. He's also run for 229 yards, which matters more than it looks: rushing production is the most reliable floor a quarterback has, because it doesn't depend on anyone catching anything. Yards per attempt is the number to watch: completion percentage rewards checkdowns, and a quarterback can complete 70% of his passes without ever threatening anybody.

His last 5 games

Over that stretch Will has 940 total yards. A handful of games is thin evidence in a seventeen-game season. It nudges the projection; it doesn't drive it.

How the model reads him

Will's projection starts with the game, not with him. We simulate the matchup drive by drive — how many possessions each side gets, how far they travel, how often they score — and then ask what share of that flows through him given his role. That ordering matters: a productive player on a team that runs 55 plays a game has a lower ceiling than a lesser one on a team that runs 70.

What we'd flag

Read this knowing the limits. A seventeen-game season makes every rate noisy; game script can invert a player's usage inside one afternoon; and depth-chart changes often surface too late to be in the projection.

Will Levis — FAQ

How much does Will Levis play?

He's averaged 87% of his team's snaps across 20 games in our log. Snap share is the most stable input on this page — it moves slowly and it survives a bad game, which is why the model weighs opportunity above efficiency.

Are Will Levis's projections betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with the graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned against real results and can be wrong on any given week. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Game Log

WkOppSnapsCmpAttYdsTDINTRush
2024 · 18HOU58%917175108
2024 · 15CIN47%81289030
2024 · 14JAX100%1932168003
2024 · 13WSH100%183721220-3
2024 · 12HOU100%18242782110
2024 · 11MIN100%17312951118
2024 · 10LAC100%18231752041
2024 · 6IND100%1627951115
2024 · 4MIA17%3425015
2024 · 3GB100%26342602212
2024 · 2NYJ100%19281921138
2024 · 1CHI100%19321271236
2023 · 17HOU24%2616000
2023 · 15HOU100%17261990125
2023 · 14MIA100%23383271115
2023 · 13IND100%1633224105
2023 · 12CAR100%182818500-3
2023 · 11JAX100%1317158202
2023 · 10TB100%1939199010
2023 · 9PIT100%2239262012

Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).