The Play of the Day
Only one Play of the Day went out this week. It hit.
ROI on that single call landed at 69%. A clean week for the headline pool, even if the sample is as small as it gets.
The Ranked Boards
Zoom out to the ranked matchups and the picture gets more mixed.
The top 3 ranked calls went 41 of 93. Widen to the top 5 and it's 208 of 451. The top 10 ranked calls landed 429 of 939. The full board, every matchup graded across the week, closed at 5047 of 13838.
Batter Boards: Contact Over Power
Hits was the strongest position-player board of the week, 63% across 1602 graded calls.
Total bases followed at 54% off 944 lines. H+R+RBI closed at 52% across 707. DFS points settled at 46%. Runs sat at 41%, RBI at 32%, walks at 29%.
Home runs stayed the hardest batter board to call — 14% across 1602 graded lines. Stolen bases were tougher still, 7%.
Pitcher Boards
Earned runs graded 53% in both the top 3 and across the full board, off 171 lines. Pitcher strikeouts matched it almost exactly at 52% in both tiers, from 164 graded calls. Hits allowed split evenly at 50% either way, across 159.
Pitcher walks did better deep in the board than at the top — 50% on the full board against 38% in the top 3, from 151 graded lines. Pitcher outs showed the same pattern, 48% full board versus 33% in the top 3, off 150.
Pitcher DFS points was the weakest pitcher board this week: 26% on the full board, 38% in the top 3, from 178 graded calls.
Golf: RBC Canadian Open
MatchWiz graded 148 calls at the RBC Canadian Open.
Our top-ranked pick, Tommy Fleetwood, finished 14th. The eventual winner sat 38th on our board going in — a miss at the top.
Further down the sheet held up better. Of the 10 graded top 10 players, 7 made the cut, and the best finish among that group was 2nd.
Every number above comes from the same graded ledger the boards publish — roll any board back to that week and you'll find the same calls. Research signals from a statistical model, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER). Method: how MatchWiz works.