SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Freiburg1
Paderborn0Full timeHome Deluxe ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
Proj1.8–1.1
SC Paderborn 07HOME✗51%1.8proj-105fair+264mktModel lean+23.8%Draw26%—proj+288fair+288mkt+0.0%
SC FreiburgAWAY23%1.1proj+335fair+112mkt-24.1%O2.5 55% · mkt 57% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 61% ✗
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Yuito Suzuki1+ Goals33%29%+255✗ 0Lucas Höler1+ Goals24%29%+240DNPDerry Scherhant1+ Goals19%29%+295✗ 0Junior Adamu1+ Goals17%––DNP
Johan Manzambi1+ Goals13%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler1+ Shots86%––DNPDerry Scherhant1+ Shots82%––✓ 3Junior Adamu1+ Shots79%––DNP
Yuito Suzuki1+ Shots75%––✓ 2Niklas Beste1+ Shots72%––✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPYuito Suzuki1+ Shots on Target50%––✗ 0Derry Scherhant1+ Shots on Target48%––✗ 0Junior Adamu1+ Shots on Target40%––DNP
Patrick Osterhage1+ Shots on Target34%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Niklas BesteO0.519%––✗ 0Matthias GinterO0.517%––✗ 0Lucas HölerO0.510%––DNPYuito SuzukiO0.59%––✗ 0Patrick OsterhageO0.59%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Yuito Suzuki39%––✗ 0Lucas Höler32%––DNPNiklas Beste25%––✗ 0Derry Scherhant24%––✗ 0Junior Adamu23%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingSC Freiburg lead 1-01–0 on goals