Bundesliga Match Board
Every match priced by our goals-based goal model — the WizLine (win/draw/win probabilities and their fair odds) next to the books' vig-free consensus, plus total-goals and both-teams-to-score reads.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.
Friday, October 16
Eintracht FrankfurtHOME54%2.4proj-117fair—mkt—
FC CologneAWAY25%1.6proj+296fair—mkt—Saturday, October 17
1. FC Union BerlinHOME20%1.2proj+393fair+392mkt-0.0%
Borussia DortmundAWAY57%2.1proj-131fair-138mkt-1.3%
Hamburg SVHOME28%1.5proj+263fair+290mkt+1.9%
VfB StuttgartAWAY49%2.0proj+105fair-105mkt-2.4%
Schalke 04HOME46%1.6proj+119fair+201mktModel lean+12.6%
MainzAWAY28%1.2proj+261fair+143mkt-13.5%
SV ElversbergHOME49%2.0proj+106fair+158mktModel lean+9.8%
FC AugsburgAWAY28%1.5proj+259fair+174mkt-8.6%
Werder BremenHOME50%1.6proj-101fair-108mkt-1.8%
SC Paderborn 07AWAY23%1.0proj+343fair+311mkt-1.8%
Bayern MunichHOME71%3.0proj-245fair-331mkt-5.8%
RB LeipzigAWAY13%1.3proj+651fair+849mkt+2.8%Sunday, October 18
Bayer LeverkusenHOME58%2.5proj-141fair-132mkt+1.5%
SC FreiburgAWAY21%1.5proj+365fair+374mkt+0.4%
Borussia MönchengladbachHOME43%2.1proj+132fair+250mktModel lean+14.4%
TSG HoffenheimAWAY35%1.9proj+185fair+106mkt-13.4%Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Bundesliga table
Updated daily from final results2026-27 German Bundesliga
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 10 | LWDWW |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 8 | WWDLD |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LWDWD |
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 7 | DWLWL |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Hamburg SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 6 | LLLWW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 | DLWDL |
| 14 | FC Cologne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | WLDLW |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 | DLLLW |
| 17 | TSG Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |