Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Leverkusen2
Elversberg3Full timeURSAPHARM-Arena an der KaiserlindeBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj1.9–1.5
SV ElversbergHOME✓47%1.9proj+114fair+408mktModel lean+27.0%Draw24%—proj+313fair+369mkt+2.9%
Bayer LeverkusenAWAY29%1.5proj+243fair-145mkt-30.0%O2.5 65% ✓BTTS 66% · mkt 63% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ernest Poku1+ Goals29%31%+220DNPPatrik Schick1+ Goals27%53%+105✓ 1Alejandro Grimaldo1+ Goals20%––DNP
Jeremie Frimpong1+ Goals17%––DNP
Florian Wirtz1+ Goals16%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ernest Poku1+ Shots91%––DNPPatrik Schick1+ Shots85%––✓ 5Malik Tillman1+ Shots77%––✓ 1Florian Wirtz1+ Shots77%––DNP
Alejandro Grimaldo1+ Shots76%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ernest Poku1+ Shots on Target59%––DNPPatrik Schick1+ Shots on Target52%––✓ 1Florian Wirtz1+ Shots on Target43%––DNP
Alejandro Grimaldo1+ Shots on Target38%––DNP
Jeremie Frimpong1+ Shots on Target38%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Florian WirtzO0.517%––DNP
Alejandro GrimaldoO0.517%––DNP
Aleix GarcíaO0.516%––✗ 0Jeremie FrimpongO0.514%––DNP
Granit XhakaO0.514%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ernest Poku38%––DNPPatrik Schick34%––✓ 1Alejandro Grimaldo34%––DNP
Florian Wirtz31%––DNP
Jeremie Frimpong29%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingSV Elversberg lead 1-03–2 on goals