Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, August 29, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, August 29, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Saturday, August 29, 2026 · how the model graded

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 40 of 45 on ML, 19 of 45 on Over 2.5, 40 of 45 on BTTS.

Saturday, August 29

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

FT · 3–2

Proj1.8–1.4

Match page →

FC CologneHOME✓45%1.8proj+124fair—mkt—

Draw25%—proj+299fair—mkt—

TSG HoffenheimAWAY30%1.4proj+229fair—mkt—

O2.5 62% ✓BTTS 64% ✓1H O1.5 43% ✓

Fandango

FT · 3–3

Proj2.1–1.4

Match page →

1. FC Union BerlinHOME✗53%2.1proj-112fair+171mktModel lean+15.8%

Draw23%—proj+344fair+273mkt-4.3%

Eintracht FrankfurtAWAY25%1.4proj+304fair+175mkt-11.6%

O2.5 69% · mkt 58% ✓BTTS 68% · mkt 63% ✓1H O1.5 48% ✗

Fandango

FT · 0–0

Proj1.6–1.4

Match page →

MainzHOME✗41%1.6proj+141fair-129mkt-15.0%

Draw26%—proj+281fair+326mkt+2.8%

SC Paderborn 07AWAY32%1.4proj+209fair+401mktModel lean+12.4%

O2.5 58% · mkt 57% ✗BTTS 62% · mkt 58% ✗1H O1.5 40% ✓

Fandango

FT · 3–0

Proj2.1–1.1

Match page →

RB LeipzigHOME✓59%2.1proj-144fair-152mkt-1.3%

Draw22%—proj+349fair+373mkt+1.1%

Borussia MönchengladbachAWAY19%1.1proj+436fair+429mkt-0.3%

O2.5 63% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 61% ✗1H O1.5 43% ✓

Fandango

FT · 3–2

Proj1.9–1.5

Match page →

SV ElversbergHOME✓47%1.9proj+114fair+408mktModel lean+27.0%

Draw24%—proj+313fair+369mkt+2.9%

Bayer LeverkusenAWAY29%1.5proj+243fair-145mkt-30.0%

O2.5 65% ✓BTTS 66% · mkt 63% ✓1H O1.5 45% ✗

Fandango

FT · 2–0

Proj2.1–1.1

Match page →

Borussia DortmundHOME✓61%2.1proj-159fair-216mkt-7.0%

Draw22%—proj+357fair+450mkt+3.7%

Hamburg SVAWAY17%1.1proj+498fair+658mkt+3.5%

O2.5 62% ✗BTTS 58% · mkt 55% ✗1H O1.5 42% ✗

USA Net

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).