Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, August 29, 2026

Saturday, August 29

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.6–1.5

KOEFC CologneHOME41%1.6proj+146fair—mkt—

×DRWDraw26%—proj+286fair—mkt—

TSGTSG HoffenheimAWAY33%1.5proj+199fair—mkt—

O2.5 60%BTTS 63%

9:30 AM ET

Proj2.0–1.4

FCU1. FC Union BerlinHOME49%2.0proj+103fair+161mktModel lean+10.8%

×DRWDraw24%—proj+324fair+272mkt-3.2%

SGEEintracht FrankfurtAWAY27%1.4proj+268fair+188mkt-7.5%

O2.5 67% · mkt 56%BTTS 67%

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.5–1.4

M05MainzHOME38%1.5proj+166fair-126mkt-18.0%

×DRWDraw27%—proj+271fair+321mkt+3.2%

SCPSC Paderborn 07AWAY35%1.4proj+182fair+400mktModel lean+15.4%

O2.5 56% · mkt 56%BTTS 60%

9:30 AM ET

Proj2.0–1.2

RBLRB LeipzigHOME55%2.0proj-123fair-160mkt-6.3%

×DRWDraw24%—proj+321fair+386mkt+3.2%

BMGBorussia MönchengladbachAWAY21%1.2proj+376fair+476mkt+3.6%

O2.5 60%BTTS 60%

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.7–1.5

ELVSV ElversbergHOME43%1.7proj+135fair+451mktModel lean+24.4%

×DRWDraw25%—proj+298fair+372mkt+4.0%

B04Bayer LeverkusenAWAY32%1.5proj+210fair-154mkt-28.3%

O2.5 63%BTTS 65%

12:30 PM ET

Proj2.0–1.1

DORBorussia DortmundHOME58%2.0proj-137fair-243mkt-13.0%

×DRWDraw23%—proj+327fair+470mktModel lean+5.9%

HSVHamburg SVAWAY19%1.1proj+432fair+797mktModel lean+7.6%

O2.5 59%BTTS 58%

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).