SC Paderborn 07 vs Mainz
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Paderborn0
Mainz0Full timeMEWA ARENABox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–0
Proj1.6–1.4
MainzHOME✗41%1.6proj+141fair-129mkt-15.0%Draw26%—proj+281fair+326mkt+2.8%
SC Paderborn 07AWAY32%1.4proj+209fair+401mktModel lean+12.4%O2.5 58% · mkt 57% ✗BTTS 62% · mkt 58% ✗
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
William Bøving1+ Goals20%29%+255DNPBenedict Hollerbach1+ Goals19%––DNPNadiem Amiri1+ Goals13%40%+290✗ 0Lee Jae-Sung1+ Goals12%30%+280✗ 0Paul Nebel1+ Goals12%30%+235DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Benedict Hollerbach1+ Shots84%––DNPWilliam Bøving1+ Shots80%––DNPNadiem Amiri1+ Shots74%––✓ 2Paul Nebel1+ Shots70%––DNPLee Jae-Sung1+ Shots69%––✓ 4Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Benedict Hollerbach1+ Shots on Target47%––DNPWilliam Bøving1+ Shots on Target45%––DNPNadiem Amiri1+ Shots on Target36%––✗ 0Lee Jae-Sung1+ Shots on Target33%––✗ 0Lennard Maloney1+ Shots on Target32%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nadiem AmiriO0.512%––✗ 0William BøvingO0.511%––DNPLennard MaloneyO0.510%––DNPBenedict HollerbachO0.59%––DNPKaishu SanoO0.59%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
William Bøving28%––DNPBenedict Hollerbach26%––DNPNadiem Amiri23%––✗ 0Lee Jae-Sung20%––✗ 0Paul Nebel19%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingLevel at 0 apiece1 draw0–0 on goals