Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8
Tue, September 29, 2026 — Meta APEX · Las Vegas · NV · 📺 Paramount+. Model record on this card: 2-2. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.
Card in progress
4 of 5 fights finalLeans vs the book
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where we disagreed with the book
Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.
Main Card
fight lengthwe said 52% over 2½ · went R1 1:01 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 34%
fight lengthwe said 59% under 2½ · went R2 2:13 ✓ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 48% · was KO/TKO ✓
fight lengthwe said 52% over 2½ · went R1 0:32 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 48% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 34%
fight lengthwe said 63% over 2½ · went R1 3:02 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 58% · was Submission ✗ we had it 23%
fight lengthwe say 52% it goes past 2½ rounds
how it endsKO/TKO 34% · Submission 17% · Decision 48%