MatchWiz

Jafel FilhoPastor

17-5-0 · MatchWiz rating 1541

Age33Height5'7"Reach68.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionFlyweightCampNova Uniao CountryBrazil

Rating trend

1500202220232024202520261541

current 1541 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Jafel Filho is 4-3 across 7 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1541 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He wants the fight on the mat

Jafel lands 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and threatens 1.7 submissions in the same span. That's the profile the model reads first, because grappling decides where a fight happens and where it happens decides most of the rest. His matchups turn on one number more than any other — the opponent's takedown defense. Against 85%-plus defense the same fighter looks ordinary; against a striker who can't stop it he looks unbeatable.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Jafel and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Jafel Filho — FAQ

What is Jafel Filho's record?

4-3 across 7 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1541 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Jafel Filho?

He lands 1.8 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.8, with 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and 50% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Jafel Filho's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Apr 25, 2026Cody DurdenL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal-20
Oct 11, 2025Clayton CarpenterW · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot+21
May 31, 2025Allan NascimentoL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber-36
Mar 16, 2024Ode' OsbourneW · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura+35
Jul 22, 2023Daniel BarezW · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura+35
Mar 18, 2023Muhammad MokaevL · Submission R3UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3-32
Sep 21, 2022Roybert EcheverriaW · KO/TKO R3Dana White's Contender Series: Season 6, Week 9+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →