MatchWiz

Muhammad MokaevThe Punisher

16-0-0 · MatchWiz rating 1682

Age26Height5'7"Reach70"StanceOrthodoxDivisionFlyweightCampKHK MMA TeamCountryEngland

Rating trend

15002022202320241682

current 1682 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Muhammad Mokaev is 7-0 across 7 fights on our tape. He's on a 7-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1682 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He wants the fight on the mat

Muhammad lands 5.3 takedowns per 15 minutes and threatens 0.9 submissions in the same span. That's the profile the model reads first, because grappling decides where a fight happens and where it happens decides most of the rest. His matchups turn on one number more than any other — the opponent's takedown defense. Against 85%-plus defense the same fighter looks ordinary; against a striker who can't stop it he looks unbeatable.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Muhammad and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Muhammad Mokaev — FAQ

What is Muhammad Mokaev's record?

7-0 across 7 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1682 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Muhammad Mokaev?

He lands 1.6 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.4, with 5.3 takedowns per 15 minutes and 25% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Muhammad Mokaev's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jul 28, 2024Manel KapeW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2+12
Mar 2, 2024Alex PerezW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev+13
Oct 21, 2023Tim ElliottW · Submission R3UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2+26
Mar 18, 2023Jafel FilhoW · Submission R3UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3+32
Oct 22, 2022Malcolm GordonW · Submission R3UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev+32
Jul 23, 2022Charles JohnsonW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall+28
Mar 19, 2022Cody DurdenW · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall+39

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →