MatchWiz

Sergei Pavlovich

21-3-0 · MatchWiz rating 1685

Age34Height6'3"Reach84"StanceSouthpawDivisionHeavyweightCampAmerican Top TeamCountryRussia

Rating trend

150020182019202220232024202520261685

current 1685 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Sergei Pavlovich is 9-3 across 12 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1685 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

78% of Sergei's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.6 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Sergei is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Sergei Pavlovich — FAQ

What is Sergei Pavlovich's record?

9-3 across 12 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1685 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Sergei Pavlovich?

He lands 4.5 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.6, with 0.5 takedowns per 15 minutes and 75% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Sergei Pavlovich's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
May 30, 2026Tallison TeixeiraW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo+14
Aug 23, 2025Waldo Cortes AcostaW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang+15
Feb 1, 2025Jairzinho RozenstruikW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov+15
Jun 22, 2024Alexander VolkovL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov-15
Nov 12, 2023Tom AspinallL · KO/TKO R1UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira-19
Apr 22, 2023Curtis BlaydesW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes+22
Dec 4, 2022Tai TuivasaW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland+16
Jul 31, 2022Derrick LewisW · KO/TKO R1UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2+45
Mar 19, 2022Shamil AbdurakhimovW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall+37
Oct 26, 2019Maurice GreeneW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren+47
Apr 20, 2019Marcelo GolmW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik+38
Nov 24, 2018Alistair OvereemL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2-30

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →