MatchWiz

Tom Aspinall

15-3-0 · MatchWiz rating 1713

Age33Height6'5"Reach78"StanceOrthodoxDivisionHeavyweightCampTeam KaobonCountryEngland

Rating trend

1500202020212022202320241713

current 1713 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Tom Aspinall is 8-1 across 9 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1713 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

100% of Tom's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.6 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Tom is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Tom Aspinall — FAQ

What is Tom Aspinall's record?

8-1 across 9 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1713 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Tom Aspinall?

He lands 7.6 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.6, with 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes and 100% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Tom Aspinall's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Oct 25, 2025Ciryl GaneNC · No Contest R1UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Jul 28, 2024Curtis BlaydesW · KO/TKO R1UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2+19
Nov 12, 2023Sergei PavlovichW · KO/TKO R1UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira+19
Jul 22, 2023Marcin TyburaW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura+16
Jul 23, 2022Curtis BlaydesL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall-19
Mar 19, 2022Alexander VolkovW · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall+38
Sep 4, 2021Serghei SpivacW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till+34
Feb 21, 2021Andrei ArlovskiW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis+29
Oct 11, 2020Alan BaudotW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen+34
Jul 25, 2020Jake CollierW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till+41

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →