MatchWiz

Brandon RoyvalRaw Dawg

18-9-0 · MatchWiz rating 1589

Age34Height5'9"Reach68"StanceSouthpawDivisionFlyweightCampFactoryX Muay ThaiCountryUSA

Rating trend

150020202021202220232024202520261589

current 1589 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Brandon Royval is 8-5 across 13 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1589 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

63% of Brandon's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 4.2 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Brandon's rating updates after every result and weights the quality of the opponent. Against a specific opponent it becomes a win probability, adjusted for the stylistic matchup — striking output against absorption, takedown rate against takedown defense — plus age and layoff. The weighting is ours; the output is published on the fight board and graded.

What we'd flag

The tape starts in 2015 and covers UFC and Contender Series only, so career records elsewhere aren't reflected. Beyond that: MMA has the highest single-event variance of anything we model, and no rating survives contact with a flush shot.

Brandon Royval — FAQ

What is Brandon Royval's record?

8-5 across 13 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1589 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Brandon Royval?

He lands 5.6 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.2, with 0.9 takedowns per 15 minutes and 45% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Brandon Royval's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Jul 12, 2026Lone'er KavanaghW · Submission R3UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2+20
Dec 14, 2025Manel KapeL · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape-18
Jun 29, 2025Joshua VanL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira-16
Oct 12, 2024Tatsuro TairaW · Decision - Split R5UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira+18
Feb 25, 2024Brandon MorenoW · Decision - Split R5UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2+17
Dec 17, 2023Alexandre PantojaL · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington-13
Apr 15, 2023Matheus NicolauW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen+22
May 8, 2022Matt SchnellW · Submission R1UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje+20
Jan 16, 2022Rogerio BontorinW · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze+30
Aug 22, 2021Alexandre PantojaL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum-31
Nov 22, 2020Brandon MorenoL · KO/TKO R1UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez-39
Sep 27, 2020Kai Kara-FranceW · Submission R2UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa+42
May 30, 2020Tim ElliottW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns+35

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →