MatchWiz

Kai Asakura

23-6-0 · MatchWiz rating 1523

Age32Height5'8"Reach69"StanceOrthodoxDivisionBantamweightCampJapan Top TeamCountryJapan

Rating trend

15002024202520261523

current 1523 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Kai Asakura is 2-2 across 4 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1523 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

100% of Kai's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.1 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Kai and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result. For Kai specifically, Kai has only 4 fights on our tape, so every rate here is built on very little.

Kai Asakura — FAQ

What is Kai Asakura's record?

2-2 across 4 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1523 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Kai Asakura?

He lands 3.1 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.1, with 0 takedowns per 15 minutes and 50% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Kai Asakura's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Aug 29, 2026AoriqilengW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song+38
May 30, 2026Cameron SmothermanW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo+39
Aug 17, 2025Tim ElliottL · Submission R2UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev-33
Dec 8, 2024Alexandre PantojaL · Submission R2UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura-20

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →