MatchWiz

Austin HubbardThud

17-10-0 · MatchWiz rating 1461

Age34Height5'10"Reach71"StanceOrthodoxDivisionLightweightCampValle Flow StrikingCountryUSA

Rating trend

15002019202020212023202420251461

current 1461 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Austin Hubbard is 5-8 across 13 fights on our tape. He's on a 3-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1461 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He goes the distance

Austin rarely finishes — most of his wins come on the cards. That's not a criticism; decision fighters are often the most predictable profile on a board, because they win by accumulating rather than by landing one shot. It does mean his ceiling in any single fight is capped, and that the judges become a variable no model handles well.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Austin and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Austin Hubbard — FAQ

What is Austin Hubbard's record?

5-8 across 13 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1461 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Austin Hubbard?

He lands 4 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.1, with 1.6 takedowns per 15 minutes and 68% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Austin Hubbard's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Aug 23, 2025RongzhuL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang-16
Mar 29, 2025MarQuel MederosL · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg-11
Oct 6, 2024Alexander HernandezL · Decision - Split R3UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.-14
Apr 27, 2024Michal FiglakW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez+15
Aug 20, 2023Kurt HolobaughL · Submission R2UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley-22
Jul 26, 2023Roosevelt RobertsW · Decision - Split R3The Ultimate Fighter 31 Semifinal: McGregor vs. Chandler+17
Aug 22, 2021Vinc PichelL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum-11
Apr 17, 2021Dakota BushW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum+17
Aug 23, 2020Joe SoleckiL · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar-34
Jun 20, 2020Max RohskopfW · TKO - Doctor's Stoppage R2UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov+41
Mar 8, 2020Mark O. MadsenL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero-30
Sep 14, 2019Kyle PrepolecW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje+31
May 19, 2019Davi RamosL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee-23

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →