MatchWiz

Alexander HernandezEl Gran Chango

18-9-0 · MatchWiz rating 1571

Age33Height5'9"Reach72"StanceOrthodoxDivisionLightweightCampFactoryX Muay ThaiCountryUSA

Rating trend

15002018201920202021202220232024202520261571

current 1571 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Alexander Hernandez is 10-8 across 18 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1571 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

No single dominant tool

Alexander's rates don't point hard in any direction — 4.2 strikes landed a minute, 1 takedowns per 15, 69% takedown defense. That's the most common profile in the sport and the hardest to project, because the matchup rather than the fighter decides which skill ends up mattering.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Alexander is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Alexander Hernandez — FAQ

What is Alexander Hernandez's record?

10-8 across 18 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1571 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Alexander Hernandez?

He lands 4.2 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.5, with 1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 69% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Alexander Hernandez's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Apr 26, 2026Rafa GarciaL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal-17
Sep 13, 2025Diego FerreiraW · KO/TKO R2Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva+22
Aug 17, 2025Chase HooperW · KO/TKO R1UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev+22
Mar 15, 2025Kurt HolobaughW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2+15
Oct 6, 2024Austin HubbardW · Decision - Split R3UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.+14
Apr 6, 2024Damon JacksonL · Decision - Split R3UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2-13
Oct 7, 2023Bill AlgeoL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green-17
Feb 19, 2023Jim MillerW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield+17
Dec 10, 2022Billy QuarantilloL · KO/TKO R2UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev-17
Feb 13, 2022Renato MoicanoL · Submission R2UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2-19
Oct 2, 2021Mike BreedenW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker+15
Feb 27, 2021Thiago MoisésL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane-17
Oct 31, 2020Chris GruetzemacherW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva+16
May 14, 2020Drew DoberL · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira-39
Jul 21, 2019Francisco TrinaldoW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards+40
Jan 20, 2019Donald CerroneL · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw-37
Jul 29, 2018Olivier Aubin-MercierW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2+39
Mar 4, 2018Beneil DariushW · KO/TKO R1UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya+47

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →