MatchWiz

Mateusz Rębecki

21-5-0 · MatchWiz rating 1570

Age33Height5'7"Reach66"StanceSouthpawDivisionLightweightCampBerserker's TeamCountryPoland

Rating trend

1500202220232024202520261570

current 1570 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Mateusz Rębecki is 6-4 across 10 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1570 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He wants the fight on the mat

Mateusz lands 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes and threatens 0.4 submissions in the same span. That's the profile the model reads first, because grappling decides where a fight happens and where it happens decides most of the rest. His matchups turn on one number more than any other — the opponent's takedown defense. Against 85%-plus defense the same fighter looks ordinary; against a striker who can't stop it he looks unbeatable.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Mateusz and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Mateusz Rębecki — FAQ

What is Mateusz Rębecki's record?

6-4 across 10 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1570 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Mateusz Rębecki?

He lands 5.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.2, with 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 53% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Mateusz Rębecki's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Aug 1, 2026Kyle PrepolecW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez+11
May 9, 2026Grant DawsonL · Submission R3UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland-13
Oct 25, 2025Ludovit KleinL · Decision - Majority R3UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane-16
Aug 3, 2025Chris DuncanL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park-18
Oct 26, 2024Myktybek OrolbaiW · Decision - Split R3UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway+14
May 11, 2024Diego FerreiraL · KO/TKO R3UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento-42
Nov 12, 2023Roosevelt RobertsW · Submission R1UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira+32
Jun 24, 2023Loik RadzhabovW · KO/TKO R2UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria+35
Jan 14, 2023Nick FioreW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov+28
Aug 31, 2022Rodrigo LidioW · Submission R1Dana White's Contender Series: Season 6, Week 6+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →