UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez
Sat, August 1, 2026 — Belgrade Arena · Belgrade · Serbia. Model record on this card: 10-4. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.
Card complete
14 of 14 fights finalWinner picks
10–471%
our >50% side
Round totals
6–843%
our side of over/under 2½
How it ends
3–1121%
our most-likely method
Leans vs the book
2–250%
where we disagreed with the book
Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.
Main Card
fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went R1 0:30 ✗ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 48% · was KO/TKO ✓
fight lengthwe said 55% under 2½ · went R1 2:56 ✓ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 45% · was KO/TKO ✓
fight lengthwe said 53% under 2½ · went the distance ✗ over
how it endswe said KO/TKO 45% · was Decision - Unanimous ✗ we had it 43%
fight lengthwe said 63% under 2½ · went R1 4:14 ✓ under
how it endswe said KO/TKO 44% · was Submission ✗ we had it 23%
fight lengthwe said 57% under 2½ · went R1 1:01 ✓ under
how it endswe said Decision 40% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 38%
fight lengthwe said 53% over 2½ · went R1 1:21 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 49% · was Submission ✗ we had it 19%
Prelims
fight lengthwe said 72% over 2½ · went R2 4:07 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 67% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 20%
fight lengthwe said 52% under 2½ · went R1 1:49 ✓ under
how it endswe said Decision 45% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 35%
fight lengthwe said 55% over 2½ · went the distance ✓ over
how it endswe said Decision 51% · was Decision - Unanimous ✓
fight lengthwe said 52% under 2½ · went R2 4:33 ✓ under
how it endswe said Decision 44% · was Submission ✗ we had it 19%
fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went R1 4:41 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 52% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 31%
fight lengthwe said 66% over 2½ · went R1 3:41 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 65% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 16%
fight lengthwe said 56% over 2½ · went R1 2:22 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 52% · was KO/TKO ✗ we had it 37%
fight lengthwe said 65% over 2½ · went R1 3:20 ✗ under
how it endswe said Decision 63% · was Submission ✗ we had it 21%