MatchWiz

Ian Machado GarryThe Future

17-2-0 · MatchWiz rating 1706

Age28Height6'3"Reach74.5"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWelterweightCampChute Boxe - Diego LimaCountryIreland

Rating trend

15002021202220232024202520261706

current 1706 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Ian Machado Garry is 10-2 across 12 fights on our tape. Our rating has him at 1706 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He goes the distance

Ian rarely finishes — most of his wins come on the cards. That's not a criticism; decision fighters are often the most predictable profile on a board, because they win by accumulating rather than by landing one shot. It does mean his ceiling in any single fight is capped, and that the judges become a variable no model handles well.

How the model reads him

The number attached to Ian is a matchup output, not a ranking. Rating versus rating, then style versus style, then the things that bite in this sport specifically — age and time off. It gets graded on the fight board like every other call.

What we'd flag

Two limits worth carrying. We only hold UFC and Contender Series fights from 2015, so anything before that is invisible to these numbers. And a single punch can settle a fight the better fighter was winning — this sport punishes confident predictions more than most.

Ian Machado Garry — FAQ

What is Ian Machado Garry's record?

10-2 across 12 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1706 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Ian Machado Garry?

He lands 4.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.6, with 0.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and 71% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Ian Machado Garry's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Aug 16, 2026Islam MakhachevL · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry-13
Nov 22, 2025Belal MuhammadW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker+16
Apr 27, 2025Carlos PratesW · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates+16
Dec 8, 2024Shavkat RakhmonovL · Decision - Unanimous R5UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura-15
Jun 30, 2024Michael PageW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2+10
Feb 18, 2024Geoff NealW · Decision - Split R3UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria+13
Aug 20, 2023Neil MagnyW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley+14
May 13, 2023Daniel RodriguezW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida+39
Mar 4, 2023Song KenanW · KO/TKO R3UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane+35
Jul 3, 2022Gabe GreenW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier+32
Apr 10, 2022Darian WeeksW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie+26
Nov 6, 2021Jordan WilliamsW · KO/TKO R1UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2+33

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →