MatchWiz

Raul Rosas Jr.El Niño Problema

12-1-0 · MatchWiz rating 1626

Age21Height5'9"Reach67"StanceSwitchDivisionBantamweightCamp10th Planet Jiu-JitsuCountryMexico

Rating trend

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current 1626 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Raul Rosas Jr. is 7-1 across 8 fights on our tape. He's on a 5-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1626 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He wants the fight on the mat

Raul lands 6.1 takedowns per 15 minutes and threatens 0.9 submissions in the same span. That's the profile the model reads first, because grappling decides where a fight happens and where it happens decides most of the rest. His matchups turn on one number more than any other — the opponent's takedown defense. Against 85%-plus defense the same fighter looks ordinary; against a striker who can't stop it he looks unbeatable.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Raul and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Raul Rosas Jr. — FAQ

What is Raul Rosas Jr.'s record?

7-1 across 8 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1626 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Raul Rosas Jr.?

He lands 1.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.2, with 6.1 takedowns per 15 minutes and 25% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Raul Rosas Jr.'s ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Sep 26, 2026Raoni BarcelosupcomingUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Mar 8, 2026Rob FontW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2+16
Mar 29, 2025Vince MoralesW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg+8
Sep 14, 2024AoriqilengW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 306 – Riyadh Season Noche UFC: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili+11
Jun 9, 2024Ricky TurciosW · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov+35
Sep 17, 2023Terrence MitchellW · KO/TKO R1Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2+33
Apr 9, 2023Christian RodriguezL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2-34
Dec 11, 2022Jay PerrinW · Submission R1UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev+26
Sep 21, 2022Mando GutierrezW · Decision - Unanimous R3Dana White's Contender Series: Season 6, Week 9+32

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →