MatchWiz

Francisco Prado

12-5-0 · MatchWiz rating 1420

Age24Height5'10"Reach69"StanceOrthodoxDivisionWelterweightCampAmerican Top TeamCountryArgentina

Rating trend

150020232024202520261420

current 1420 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Francisco Prado is 1-5 across 6 fights on our tape. He's on a 4-fight losing run. Our rating has him at 1420 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

100% of Francisco's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 4.3 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Francisco and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Francisco Prado — FAQ

What is Francisco Prado's record?

1-5 across 6 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1420 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Francisco Prado?

He lands 3.7 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 4.3, with 0.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and 40% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Francisco Prado's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Apr 11, 2026Charles RadtkeL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg-11
Jul 20, 2025Nikolay VeretennikovL · Decision - Split R3UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3-32
Feb 9, 2025Jake MatthewsL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2-24
Feb 25, 2024Daniel ZellhuberL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2-28
Jul 16, 2023Ottman AzaitarW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva+46
Feb 12, 2023Jamie MullarkeyL · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski-31

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →