MatchWiz

Diyar Nurgozhay

12-2-0 · MatchWiz rating 1532

Age29Height6'2"Reach74"StanceSouthpawDivisionLight HeavyweightCampArlan MMA Pro TeamCountryKazakhstan

Rating trend

15002024202520261532

current 1532 · hover or touch the chart to trace each fight

Our Elo-style rating after each UFC fight — 1500 is average; champions live around 1700+ (full leaderboard). This is the backbone of our win probabilities.

Career rates

Where he stands

Diyar Nurgozhay is 3-2 across 5 fights on our tape. He's on a 2-fight winning run. Our rating has him at 1532 — it moves with every result and weights who he beat, so a win over a ranked opponent counts for far more than one over a debutant. A record on its own says very little in this sport — two fighters at 12-3 can have faced completely different opposition, which is exactly the gap the rating is built to close.

He ends fights

67% of Diyar's wins have come inside the distance. That's a real trait and a volatile one: a finisher's floor is lower than his highlight reel suggests, because the same aggression that ends fights early loses them early. He absorbs 3.3 significant strikes a minute, which is the number to watch — a high finish rate paired with heavy absorption is a career that tends to be short and loud.

How the model reads him

Two ratings produce a baseline, then the matchup adjusts it: who lands more, who absorbs more, who controls where the fight happens. That's the whole shape of it for Diyar and for everyone else — no manual adjustments, no fighter the model likes.

What we'd flag

Our tape runs from 2015 across UFC and Contender Series bouts, so a long career elsewhere shows only the part we can measure. And variance in this sport is enormous — one punch settles a fight the better fighter was winning, which is why nothing here should be read off a single result.

Diyar Nurgozhay — FAQ

What is Diyar Nurgozhay's record?

3-2 across 5 fights on our tape, which covers UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 to the present. Our rating has him at 1532 — it weights who he beat, not just how often he won.

What kind of fighter is Diyar Nurgozhay?

He lands 6 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.3, with 1.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and 73% takedown defense. Those rates decide where his fights happen, which decides most of the rest.

Are Diyar Nurgozhay's ratings betting advice?

No. Every number here is a research signal from a statistical model, published with its graded record. The UFC model is calibrated but has not proven it can out-price the books, so we post no picks. Not betting advice, no guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Fight history

DateOpponentResultEventΔ rating
Aug 8, 2026Bruno LopesW · KO/TKO R1UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld+37
Mar 7, 2026Rafael TobiasW · Decision - Unanimous R3UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2+40
Aug 23, 2025Uran SatybaldievL · Submission R1UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang-40
Mar 15, 2025Brendson RibeiroL · Submission R2UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2-43
Oct 2, 2024Bartosz SzewczykW · KO/TKO R2Dana White's Contender Series: Season 8, Week 8+38

Record is career MMA (including pre-UFC fights); the history and rating cover UFC and Contender Series bouts from 2015 on. Back to the fight board →