MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

CHC @ BAL Hits matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
vs
6:35 PM EDT
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft

CHC CHC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CHC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 BF
Season.241249 BF
Last 2 Years.214753 BF
wOBA allowed.346
Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 BF
Season.211185 BF
Last 2 Years.215711 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL1
Jul 4vs STL1
Jul 5vs STL2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.238

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.241249 PA
Last 2 Years.214753 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.163

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL2
Jul 4vs STL0
Jul 5vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-9

Hits5 in 9 PA
Career Average.556
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.091

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 1vs SD3
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0
Jul 5vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits1.099

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Seiya Suzuki's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 27@ MIL1
Jun 28@ MIL0
Jun 30vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL1
Jul 5vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.042

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD2
Jul 3vs STL1
Jul 4vs STL0
Jul 5vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.238

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.241249 PA
Last 2 Years.214753 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.031

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD0
Jul 3vs STL1
Jul 4vs STL1
Jul 5vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits0.981

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL1
Jul 5vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.238

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23821 PA
Season.241249 PA
Last 2 Years.214753 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.971

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs SD3
Jul 1vs SD3
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 4vs STL0
Jul 5vs STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.94

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dansby Swanson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 5vs SF0
Jun 30vs SD1
Jul 1vs SD1
Jul 3vs STL0
Jul 5vs STL0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23330 PA
Season.211185 PA
Last 2 Years.215711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.19
WHIP1.37
IP101.0
H / K / BB99 / 87 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits0.943

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kevin Alcántara's full player page →

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20015 BF
Season.17634 BF
Last 2 Years.198248 BF
wOBA allowed.239
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 BF
Season.279111 BF
Last 2 Years.223781 BF
wOBA allowed.365
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs CWS2
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN1
Jul 5@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20015 PA
Season.17634 PA
Last 2 Years.198248 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Hits1 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits1.108

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gunnar Henderson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN1
Jul 4@ CIN2
Jul 5@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Hits2 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.138

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Adley Rutschman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN1
Jul 4@ CIN1
Jul 5@ CIN2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Hits1 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.113

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Ward's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs CWS1
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN1
Jul 4@ CIN3
Jul 5@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Hits0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.086

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Alonso's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 26vs WSH2
Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 5@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Hits0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.057

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Coby Mayo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 26vs WSH1
Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 5@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Hits0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.02

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler O'Neill's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 30vs CWS1
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 4@ CIN0
Jul 5@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Hits2 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.025

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Leody Taveras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 22@ LAA1
Jun 23@ LAA1
Jun 24@ LAA0
Jun 27vs WSH1
Jul 5@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.971

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jeremiah Jackson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 30vs CWS2
Jul 1vs CWS2
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN1
Jul 5@ CIN3

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.261

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30030 PA
Season.279111 PA
Last 2 Years.223781 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits0.946

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Alexander's full player page →