MatchWiz

Coby Mayo

Coby Mayo — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: total bases at 53.8/100.

Today's top board
53.8
Total Bases · vs TB
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
87
this season, box-score final
Coby Mayo
3BBats RThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Total Bases53.8/100proj 1.6#88Triples52.8/100proj 0#12Runs46.7/100proj 0.5#143Singles30.4/100proj 0.6#167Fantasy Points29.3/100proj 6.2#175Hits29.3/100proj 0.9#209H+R+RBI29.2/100proj 1.6#188RBIs28.3/100proj 0.4#165Doubles22.8/100proj 0.2#190Walks20.7/100proj 0.3#247Home Runs12.8/100proj 0.1#215Stolen Bases6.5/100proj 0.1#141

Today's matchup

Today it's Tampa Bay Rays for Coby, at home. He shows up on 12 boards — total bases (53.8/100, #88), triples (52.8/100, #12), runs (46.7/100, #143), singles (30.4/100, #167). We've got him at 1.6 on the total bases board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Coby is 6-for-31 (.194) over his last 10 games, in line with his .229 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Coby has 13 home runs and 29 extra-base hits in 262 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Coby hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Coby has recorded at least one hit in 45 of 82 games he's batted in — 55% — with 14 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Coby is hitting .223 at home (27-for-121) and .234 on the road (33-for-141) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Tampa Bay Rays

Coby is 5-for-23 (.217) against Tampa Bay Rays in our log, over 7 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 23 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Coby's biggest night was Monday, August 17, 2026 at TB — 2-for-5 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Coby a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 87 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Coby was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 53.8/100 while stolen bases came in at 6.5/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Coby's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Coby specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, August 23vs TB30000
Saturday, August 22vs TB32000
Friday, August 21vs TB20010
Wednesday, August 19vs NYY40000
Tuesday, August 18vs NYY31111
Monday, August 17@ TB52121
Sunday, August 16@ TB31020
Saturday, August 15@ TB30000
Friday, August 14@ TB40000
Wednesday, August 12@ MIN10000
Tuesday, August 11@ MIN30000
Monday, August 10@ MIN42013

Coby Mayo — FAQ

Who is Coby Mayo facing today?

Coby Mayo is hosting Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 53.8/100 on our total bases board, ranked #88.

What is Coby Mayo's projection today?

We project Coby for 1.6 on the total bases board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Coby Mayo been hitting lately?

Coby is 6-for-31 (.194) over his last 10 games, against .229 on the season across 262 at-bats in our log, with 13 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Coby Mayo appear on?

Coby was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — total bases, triples, runs, singles, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Coby Mayo's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).