Who has the best hits matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

Junior Caminero (AL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Cristopher Sánchez. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Junior Caminero (100), Shea Langeliers (97), Mike Trout (87), Bobby Witt Jr. (85), Freddie Freeman (62). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .262 against lefties this year. Shea Langeliers (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .295 against lefties this year. Mike Trout (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .184 against lefties this year. Bobby Witt Jr. (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .297 against lefties this year. Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a hit a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Hits Board · Today

Best MLB hits matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

8:00 PM ET

ALaway

NLhomeTop matchup100

PosSort

#Hitter · MatchupScore

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.276

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.6258 PA

Season.262107 PA

Last 2 Years.247328 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8vs NYY0

Jul 9vs NYY1

Jul 10vs SEA2

Jul 11vs SEA1

Jul 12vs SEA0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.293

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.38762 PA

Season.273399 PA

Last 2 Years.2431283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.207353 PA

Season.2042229 PA

Last 2 Years.2146167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.407

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.368

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Hits1 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.215

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.259

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20824 PA

Season.295112 PA

Last 2 Years.305302 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ DET0

Jul 9@ DET1

Jul 10@ CWS0

Jul 11@ CWS0

Jul 12@ CWS1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.293

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.38762 PA

Season.273399 PA

Last 2 Years.2431283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.207353 PA

Season.2042229 PA

Last 2 Years.2146167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.364

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.368

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Hits2 in 4 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.202

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Shea Langeliers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.223

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA

Season.18487 PA

Last 2 Years.188192 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jun 17@ AZ1

Jul 8@ TEX1

Jul 9@ TEX0

Jul 11@ MIN2

Jul 12@ MIN2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.293

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.38762 PA

Season.273399 PA

Last 2 Years.2431283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.207353 PA

Season.2042229 PA

Last 2 Years.2146167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.368

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits1.163

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mike Trout's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.260

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.22722 PA

Season.297101 PA

Last 2 Years.291323 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ NYM1

Jul 9@ NYM1

Jul 10@ BAL1

Jul 11@ BAL0

Jul 12@ BAL2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.293

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.38762 PA

Season.273399 PA

Last 2 Years.2431283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.207353 PA

Season.2042229 PA

Last 2 Years.2146167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.368

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Hits1 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.157

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.281

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.36136 PA

Season.277278 PA

Last 2 Years.261881 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 7vs COL2

Jul 8vs COL2

Jul 10vs AZ0

Jul 11vs AZ1

Jul 12vs AZ0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.372

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Hits6 in 20 PA

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances20

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits1.064

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Freddie Freeman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.274

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.45511 PA

Season.274106 PA

Last 2 Years.270367 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 7@ SF3

Jul 8@ SF1

Jul 10@ SD2

Jul 11@ SD1

Jul 12@ SD1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.293

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.38762 PA

Season.273399 PA

Last 2 Years.2431283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.207353 PA

Season.2042229 PA

Last 2 Years.2146167 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.368

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-12

Hits4 in 12 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits1.063

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ernie Clement's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.234

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA

Season.241216 PA

Last 2 Years.232881 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8vs KC0

Jul 9vs KC1

Jul 10vs BOS1

Jul 11vs BOS0

Jul 12vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.414

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Hits2 in 12 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits1.009

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.234

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.245106 PA

Last 2 Years.293225 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 7@ WSH0

Jul 8@ WSH0

Jul 10@ TEX2

Jul 11@ TEX2

Jul 12@ TEX2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.190

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.135126 PA

Last 2 Years.178381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.194211 PA

Season.1931341 PA

Last 2 Years.1983598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Hits1.001

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.216

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20444 PA

Season.201254 PA

Last 2 Years.198921 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ CIN1

Jul 9@ CIN1

Jul 10@ DET0

Jul 11@ DET1

Jul 12@ DET2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353

Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-13

Hits3 in 16 PA

Career Average.188

Plate Appearances16

HR · K · BB2 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Hits0.959

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.232

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.20539 PA

Season.240279 PA

Last 2 Years.225861 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 7vs HOU1

Jul 8vs HOU1

Jul 10vs NYY1

Jul 11vs NYY1

Jul 12vs NYY1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-9

Hits0 in 10 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances10

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits0.956

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Abrams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.257

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21347 PA

Season.301262 PA

Last 2 Years.264781 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ CIN1

Jul 9@ CIN2

Jul 10@ DET1

Jul 11@ DET0

Jul 12@ DET0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Hits3 in 11 PA

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits0.949

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.239

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.26123 PA

Season.235132 PA

Last 2 Years.199277 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ TB1

Jul 9@ TB2

Jul 10@ WSH1

Jul 11@ WSH2

Jul 12@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.190

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.135126 PA

Last 2 Years.178381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.194211 PA

Season.1931341 PA

Last 2 Years.1983598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.343

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Hits0.918

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Rice's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.219

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.17135 PA

Season.223256 PA

Last 2 Years.214659 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 6vs COL2

Jul 7vs COL0

Jul 8vs COL1

Jul 11vs AZ0

Jul 12vs AZ0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-12

Hits2 in 15 PA

Career Average.133

Plate Appearances15

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 3

Projection

Projected Hits0.903

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Max Muncy's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.224

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA

Season.217138 PA

Last 2 Years.265381 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ TB0

Jul 9@ TB2

Jul 10@ WSH2

Jul 11@ WSH1

Jul 12@ WSH2

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.190

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.135126 PA

Last 2 Years.178381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.194211 PA

Season.1931341 PA

Last 2 Years.1983598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Hits2 in 6 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits0.88

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cody Bellinger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.236

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA

Season.246297 PA

Last 2 Years.232878 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 6vs COL0

Jul 7vs COL1

Jul 10vs AZ3

Jul 11vs AZ2

Jul 12vs AZ0

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.207

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.16025 PA

Season.186172 PA

Last 2 Years.193691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.196

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.188240 PA

Season.1881653 PA

Last 2 Years.2054747 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.271

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Hits1 in 12 PA

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Hits0.879

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andy Pages's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.224

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA

Season.218234 PA

Last 2 Years.206776 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ PIT1

Jul 9@ PIT1

Jul 10@ STL0

Jul 11@ STL0

Jul 12@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Hits3 in 13 PA

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.878

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ozzie Albies's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs LHP.217

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA

Season.202124 PA

Last 2 Years.203384 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8vs ATH2

Jul 9vs ATH0

Jul 10vs PHI1

Jul 11vs PHI0

Jul 12vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.190

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.135126 PA

Last 2 Years.178381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

W–L11–4

ERA2.62

WHIP1.19

IP127.1

H / K / BB126 / 144 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.200

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.194211 PA

Season.1931341 PA

Last 2 Years.1983598 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Hits0 in 6 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.826

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.228

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.21038 PA

Season.217189 PA

Last 2 Years.233540 PA

Last 5 GamesHits

Jul 8@ PIT1

Jul 9@ PIT2

Jul 10@ STL0

Jul 11@ STL1

Jul 12@ STL1

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.168

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA

Season.153229 PA

Last 2 Years.182749 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA2.56

WHIP1.13

IP98.1

H / K / BB67 / 148 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.214

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.218261 PA

Season.2031800 PA

Last 2 Years.2054554 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.263

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Hits0 in 5 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Hits0.818

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drake Baldwin's full player page →

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Junior Caminero (AL) is the top hits matchup on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 board at 100, with Shea Langeliers (AL) and Mike Trout (AL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero (AL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Cristopher Sánchez. The righty is hitting .262 H/PA against lefties this year — and .625 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 28% of his trips. And Cristopher Sánchez has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .387 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 6 career PA against Cristopher Sánchez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Shea Langeliers (AL) (97) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a strong bat at .259 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.387).
Mike Trout (AL) (87) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a league-average bat at .223 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.387).
Bobby Witt Jr. (AL) (85) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a strong bat at .260 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.387).
Freddie Freeman (NL) (62) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an excellent bat at .281 into an arm tough on the same side (.080).
Ernie Clement (AL) (62) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.387), hot bat.
Juan Soto (NL) (48) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a solid bat at .234 into an arm tough on the same side (.080), due to bounce back.
Yordan Alvarez (AL) (46) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .234 into an arm tough on the same side (.071).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

LHP Cristopher Sánchez has been getting tattooed by lefties — .293 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (AL), Shea Langeliers (AL), and Mike Trout (AL).

Platoon edges to target

Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .262 against lefties this year.
Shea Langeliers (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .295 against lefties this year.
Mike Trout (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .184 against lefties this year.
Bobby Witt Jr. (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .297 against lefties this year.
Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Ernie Clement (AL), CJ Abrams (NL), and Ben Rice (AL). Cold but due to bounce back: Juan Soto (NL), Brandon Marsh (NL), and Max Muncy (NL).

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: Junior Caminero (AL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Cristopher Sánchez. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Junior Caminero (100), Shea Langeliers (97), Mike Trout (87), Bobby Witt Jr. (85), Freddie Freeman (62). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Junior Caminero (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .262 against lefties this year. Shea Langeliers (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .295 against lefties this year. Mike Trout (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .184 against lefties this year. Bobby Witt Jr. (AL) — righty bat vs LHP, .297 against lefties this year. Freddie Freeman (NL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Cristopher Sánchez has been getting tattooed by lefties — .293 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (AL), Shea Langeliers (AL), and Mike Trout (AL).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Ernie Clement (AL), CJ Abrams (NL), and Ben Rice (AL). Cold but due to bounce back: Juan Soto (NL), Brandon Marsh (NL), and Max Muncy (NL).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a hit a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays