Best MLB Hits Matchups — Friday, July 10, 2026
Top hits spot: Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos (SF) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. The righty is hitting .250 H/PA against righties this year — and .300 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 25% of his trips. And Tanner Gordon has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .500 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 6 career PA against Tanner Gordon, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (98) vs RHP Kyle Leahy: an excellent bat at .282 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.227), hot bat.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (92) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a strong bat at .266 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.257).
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (90) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: an excellent bat at .281 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.318).
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (89) vs LHP Parker Messick: an excellent bat at .293 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.243), hot bat.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (88) vs LHP Robbie Ray: an excellent bat at .290 into an arm tough on the same side (.200).
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (86) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a strong bat at .254 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (85) vs RHP Hunter Greene: a strong bat at .255 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.357), hot bat.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Tanner Gordon has been vulnerable to righties — .288 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Heliot Ramos (SF), Luis Arraez (SF), and Rafael Devers (SF).
- RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .275 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Vierling (DET), Riley Greene (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).
- RHP Grayson Rodriguez has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Kody Clemens (MIN).
- RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .264 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Lane Thomas (KC), and Starling Marte (KC).
Platoon edges to target
- Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .306 against righties this year.
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .293 against righties this year.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .301 against lefties this year.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .416 against lefties this year.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .260 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Heliot Ramos (SF), Michael Harris II (ATL), Otto Lopez (MIA), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Wyatt Langford (TEX), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). Cold but due to bounce back: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Randal Grichuk (CWS), Anthony Seigler (BOS), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), and William Contreras (MIL).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.