Who has the best total bases matchup today (Sunday, August 23, 2026)?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Bryce Miller. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Sunday, August 23, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Sunday, August 23, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Jackson Chourio (100), Chase DeLauter (100), Pete Alonso (100), Steven Kwan (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Sunday, August 23, 2026?

No — Pete Crow-Armstrong didn't record a total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .481 against righties this year. Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .369 against righties this year. Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .293 against righties this year. Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .468 against righties this year. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .465 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Chase DeLauter (CLE), Steven Kwan (CLE), and Nathaniel Lowe (CLE). RHP Bryce Miller has been getting squared up by righties — .441 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Michael Busch (CHC), and Alex Bregman (CHC). RHP Bailey Ober has been vulnerable to righties — .418 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Merrill (SD), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), and Jake Cronenworth (SD). RHP Jacob Waguespack has been vulnerable to righties — .412 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Vinnie Pasquantino (KC).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Sunday, August 23, 2026

Every hitter on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Scores lock at first pitch and are graded against the box score the next morning — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 3–8

TORaway

NYYhomeTop matchup62 Final · 3–1

TBaway

BALhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–6

STLaway

PHIhomeTop matchup77 Final · 2–6

WSHaway

MIAhomeTop matchup73 Final · 7–11

DETaway

KChomeTop matchup81 ● 7–6 · Bot 8

ATHaway

HOUhomeTop matchup71 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

CWShomeTop matchup69 ● 3–5 · Top 9

LAAaway

TEXhomeTop matchup63 ● 6–2 · Bot 5

CLEaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 ● 3–5 · Top 7

SFaway

BOShomeTop matchup73 ● 1–2 · Top 3

CHCaway

SEAhomeTop matchup100 ● 0–1 · Top 5

MINaway

SDhomeTop matchup80 ● 0–1 · Mid 4

PITaway

LADhomeTop matchup80 ● 3–0 · Bot 3

CINaway

AZhomeTop matchup85 7:10 PM ET

ATLaway

MILhomeTop matchup100

Not starting63 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 333 shownScore

129 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@COL· 3-for-3
7TB live
Proj 2.0 TB, #3
2
Nick Loftin3B
KCvsDET· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T2
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@KC· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T2
Nick Sogard2B
BOSvsSF· 2-for-2
6TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T2
Colton CowserCF
BALvsTB· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
6
Zach NetoSS
LAA@TEX· 2-for-4
5TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T6
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsNYM· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T6
John RaveRF
KCvsDET· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T6
Brian ServenC
ATH@HOU· 2-for-4
5TB live
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T6
Jonah CoxCF
SF@BOS· 2-for-3
5TB live
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T6
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsTOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
12
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsCHC· 1-for-1
4TB live
Proj 1.9 TB, #9
T12
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsMIN· 1-for-2
4TB live
Proj 1.8 TB, #18
T12
Jahmai JonesDH
BOSvsSF· 2-for-2
4TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T12
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsATH· 1-for-2
4TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T12
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsSTL· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T12
Henry BolteCF
ATH@HOU· 3-for-5
4TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T12
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsTOR· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #74
T12
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsATH· 1-for-3
4TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T12
Max Muncy3B
ATH@HOU· 1-for-4
4TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T12
Michael ConfortoDH
CHC@SEA· 1-for-1
4TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #150
T12
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsLAA· 1-for-3
4TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #184
T12
José FermínLF
STL@PHI· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #206
T12
Elias DíazC
TEXvsLAA· 1-for-2
4TB live
Proj 1.3 TB, #255
T12
Myles StrawCF
TOR@NYY· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
26
Jo AdellRF
CLE@COL· 2-for-3
3TB live
Proj 1.8 TB, #19
T26
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsATH· 2-for-5
3TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T26
Francisco LindorSS
NYM@CWS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #53
T26
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsSF· 3-for-4
3TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T26
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsDET· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T26
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@KC· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T26
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@MIA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T26
Carson BengeRF
NYM@CWS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T26
Moisés BallesterosDH
LAA@TEX· 2-for-4
3TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T26
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsLAA· 2-for-3
3TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T26
Gustavo CamperoOF
LAA@TEX· 2-for-4
3TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T26
Edmundo SosaLF
PHIvsSTL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T26
Connor WongC
BOSvsSF· 2-for-3
3TB live
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T26
Spencer JonesRF
NYYvsTOR· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #237
T26
Bryan De La CruzRF
PHIvsSTL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T26
Cody Freeman3B
TEXvsLAA· 1-for-3
3TB live
Proj 1.3 TB, #250
42
Steven KwanLF
CLE@COL· 2-for-3
2TB live
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T42
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@AZ· 1-for-2
2TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T42
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsCIN· 1-for-1
2TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #41
T42
Dane MyersCF
CIN@AZ· 1-for-1
2TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T42
Corey SeagerSS
TEXvsLAA· 2-for-3
2TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T42
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T42
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@COL· 2-for-2
2TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T42
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsDET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T42
Willi Castro2B
COLvsCLE· 1-for-2
2TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #84
T42
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@BOS· 2-for-3
2TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #85
T42
Daylen LileLF
WSH@MIA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T42
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@BAL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T42
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@HOU· 1-for-3
2TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T42
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@NYY· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T42
Mike TroutCF
LAA@TEX· 1-for-4
2TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T42
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T42
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@PHI· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T42
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWSvsNYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #135
T42
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsTOR· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T42
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAA@TEX· 1-for-4
2TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T42
Jose SiriCF
LAA@TEX· 2-for-4
2TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T42
George Lombard Jr.SS
NYYvsTOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T42
George SpringerDH
TOR@NYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #207
T42
Alec Burleson1B
STL@PHI· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #208
T42
Kyle IsbelCF
KCvsDET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
T42
Brett SullivanC
COLvsCLE· 1-for-2
2TB live
Proj 1.4 TB, #235
T42
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@MIA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #252
T42
Javier BáezSS
DET@KC· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T42
Austin WellsC
NYYvsTOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #264
T42
Joe MackC
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T42
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsSF· 1-for-2
2TB live
Proj 1.4 TB
73
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CLE@COL· 1-for-3
1TB live
Proj 1.9 TB, #6
T73
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #13
T73
Yandy DíazDH
TB@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #22
T73
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsCLE· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #34
T73
Luis Robert Jr.CF
NYM@CWS· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #36
T73
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@AZ· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T73
Agustín RamírezC
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T73
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsATH· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #50
T73
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T73
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #58
T73
Liam HicksC
TB@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T73
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsPIT· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T73
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsCHC· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T73
Junior Caminero3B
TB@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T73
Gleyber Torres2B
DET@KC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T73
Willy AdamesSS
SF@BOS· 1-for-3
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #76
T73
Carlos CortesRF
ATH@HOU· 1-for-5
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #77
T73
Josh Naylor1B
SEAvsCHC· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #79
T73
Manny Machado3B
SDvsMIN· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #81
T73
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@SD· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T73
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsNYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T73
Tommy White3B
ATH@HOU· 1-for-4
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T73
Daulton VarshoCF
HOUvsATH· 1-for-4
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T73
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T73
Iván HerreraDH
STL@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T73
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@SD· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T73
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsNYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T73
Keibert RuizC
WSH@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #127
T73
Eduardo ValenciaDH
DET@KC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #129
T73
Austin HedgesC
CLE@COL· 1-for-3
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #134
T73
Alejandro KirkC
TOR@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T73
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsATH· 1-for-4
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T73
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T73
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsSTL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T73
Deyvison De Los Santos3B
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T73
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@AZ· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #154
T73
Connor Norby2B
COLvsCLE· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T73
Victor BericotoLF
SF@BOS· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T73
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T73
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@AZ· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T73
Donovan Walton2B
ATH@HOU· 1-for-3
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #173
T73
Jordan BeckLF
COLvsCLE· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.5 TB, #188
T73
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #191
T73
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #196
T73
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@LAD· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.4 TB, #197
T73
Ramón Urías3B
STL@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #201
T73
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #202
T73
Max ClarkCF
DET@KC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #204
T73
Corey JulksLF
DET@KC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #220
T73
Griffin ConineRF
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #238
T73
Logan O'HoppeC
TEXvsLAA· 1-for-2
1TB live
Proj 1.3 TB, #245
T73
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@LAD· 1-for-1
1TB live
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T73
Pedro PagésC
STL@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #253
T73
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #263
T73
Zach McKinstry2B
DET@KC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T73
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsWSH· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T73
Jared Young1B
NYM@CWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Sunday, August 23, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is the top total bases matchup on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 board at 100, with Jackson Chourio (MIL) and Chase DeLauter (CLE) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bryce Miller. The lefty is racking up bases at .481 TB/PA against righties this year — and .467 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 42% of his trips. And Bryce Miller has been getting squared up by righties lately — .686 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Bryce Miller. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Jackson Chourio (MIL) (100) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: a solid bat at .370 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.400).
Chase DeLauter (CLE) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .378 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.704).
Pete Alonso (BAL) (100) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .514 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.560), hot bat.
Steven Kwan (CLE) (96) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a league-average bat at .325 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.704).
Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) (94) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .403 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.704).
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) (94) vs LHP Shane Drohan: a solid bat at .399 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Michael Harris II (ATL) (94) vs LHP Shane Drohan: a solid bat at .383 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .465 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Chase DeLauter (CLE), Steven Kwan (CLE), and Nathaniel Lowe (CLE).
RHP Bryce Miller has been getting squared up by righties — .441 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Michael Busch (CHC), and Alex Bregman (CHC).
RHP Bailey Ober has been vulnerable to righties — .418 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Merrill (SD), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), and Jake Cronenworth (SD).
RHP Jacob Waguespack has been vulnerable to righties — .412 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Vinnie Pasquantino (KC).

Platoon edges to target

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .481 against righties this year.
Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .369 against righties this year.
Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .293 against righties this year.
Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .468 against righties this year.
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.

How it played out

4 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

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What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Sunday, August 23, 2026)?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Bryce Miller. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Sunday, August 23, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Sunday, August 23, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Jackson Chourio (100), Chase DeLauter (100), Pete Alonso (100), Steven Kwan (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Sunday, August 23, 2026?: No — Pete Crow-Armstrong didn't record a total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .481 against righties this year. Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .369 against righties this year. Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .293 against righties this year. Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .468 against righties this year. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .465 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Chase DeLauter (CLE), Steven Kwan (CLE), and Nathaniel Lowe (CLE). RHP Bryce Miller has been getting squared up by righties — .441 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Michael Busch (CHC), and Alex Bregman (CHC). RHP Bailey Ober has been vulnerable to righties — .418 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Merrill (SD), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), and Jake Cronenworth (SD). RHP Jacob Waguespack has been vulnerable to righties — .412 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Vinnie Pasquantino (KC).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.