Last scored matchup
Alan isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 10 days ago, at home against Texas Rangers on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on singles (54.3/100), hits (52.5/100), rbis (47.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's swinging a hot bat
Alan is 13-for-31 (.419) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .291 season mark. He's hit safely in 6 straight. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.
He's a left-handed bat
Alan hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Alan has recorded at least one hit in 17 of 31 games he's batted in — 55% — with 4 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Alan is hitting .250 at home (9-for-36) and .326 on the road (14-for-43) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
His best game in the log
Alan's biggest night was Sunday, September 20, 2026 at LAA — 3-for-5 with 1 homer, 4 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Alan a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 32 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Alan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 54.3/100 while triples came in at 6.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Alan and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Alan specifically, his sample is small (79 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.