MatchWiz

Andrew Pinckney

Andrew Pinckney — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: walks at 51.3/100.

Today's top board
51.3
Walks · @ PHI
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
0
this season, box-score final
Andrew Pinckney
LFBats RThrows RWashington Nationals
Walks51.3/100proj 0.4#38Hits42.5/100proj 1#45Doubles41.3/100proj 0.2#48RBIs35.8/100proj 0.4#60Singles34.1/100proj 0.6#44H+R+RBI32.8/100proj 1.6#61Fantasy Points31.5/100proj 6.1#68Runs31.3/100proj 0.4#72Total Bases30.8/100proj 1.5#63Home Runs22.2/100proj 0.1#40Triples15.8/100proj 0#48Stolen Bases9.8/100proj 0#56

Today's matchup

Andrew is on the road against Philadelphia Phillies on the Thursday, August 6, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — walks (51.3/100, #38), hits (42.5/100, #45), doubles (41.3/100, #48), rbis (35.8/100, #60). We've got him at 0.4 on the walks board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

He's a right-handed bat

Andrew hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Where he lands across our boards

Andrew was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 51.3/100 while stolen bases came in at 9.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Andrew and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Andrew specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Andrew Pinckney — FAQ

Who is Andrew Pinckney facing today?

Andrew Pinckney is facing Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, August 6, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 51.3/100 on our walks board, ranked #38.

What is Andrew Pinckney's projection today?

We project Andrew for 0.4 on the walks board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

Which MatchWiz boards does Andrew Pinckney appear on?

Andrew was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, hits, doubles, rbis, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Andrew Pinckney's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).